Bill Gates Cools Down on Climate

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There is no contradiction between recognizing that anthropogenic climate change is real and rejecting the notion that it is an existential threat. There is no contradiction between recognizing that anthropogenic climate change is a problem and believing that the steps being taken in response to it are fundamentally flawed. And there is no contradiction between recognizing that anthropogenic climate change needs addressing but that there are other challenges that are just as, or maybe even more, pressing.

Bill Gates, once a climate doomsayer, seems finally to have understood that there is something to all three of those points.

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Climate Policy: Stormy Weather?

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When it comes to climate policy, Donald Trump may be less of an outlier than bien-pensant Europeans — or their imitators in California and New York — like to think. Tony Blair, not the worst bellwether in certain circles, has now signaled unease over how things are going — for the second time this year. Blair’s argument does not rest on the reality of climate change, but on whether the current approach toward it makes sense. In his view, it does not. Moreover, he warns that “most people” are coming to the same conclusion….

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Climate Policy: EAT Your Greens

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There has been some talk of late that we may have reached peak climate policy madness.

I am not convinced. More on why not on another occasion, but for now consider the new (or, rather updated) report by the would-be food police of the pompously named EAT-Lancet Commission. The Lancet is a once distinguished, now somewhat disreputable and highly politicized medical journal. EAT, which was founded by a Norwegian billionaire, describes itself as the “science-based platform for food system transformation.” Science-based! It “connects and translates science to policy, business and society to make food healthy, fair and sustainable for people and planet.” Science. Or should that be #science?

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Ozempic, Wegovy, Mounjaro, and the Mysterious Hand

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In a recent post, I quoted Capital Matters regular Vladimir Lenin describing the way that the Bolsheviks’ surprisingly successful (under the circumstances) New Economic Policy, a desperate turn to a “mixed” economy to bail out the flailing communist experiment, had worked:

The state is in our hands; but has it operated the New Economic Policy in the way we wanted in this past year? No. But we refuse to admit that it did not operate in the way we wanted. How did it operate? The machine refused to obey the hand that guided it. It was like a car that was going not in the direction the driver desired, but in the direction someone else desired; as if it were being driven by some mysterious, lawless hand, God knows whose, perhaps of a profiteer, or of a private capitalist, or of both. Be that as it may, the car is not going quite in the direction the man at the wheel imagines, and often it goes in an altogether different direction.

The mysterious hand strikes again.

And so to semaglutide, a medication first approved to combat the effects of type 2 diabetes…

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The Dollar: Gold Beating Green

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The Israel-Iran war has triggered yet another rise in the price of gold. That is no surprise. Gold has been seen as a safe harbor by investors for a long, long time. More interesting is that the price of gold has been strengthening for a while now, something I discussed in a Capital Letter from April 2024. I attributed its strength to, among other factors, worries about inflation, worries about America’s fiscal position, and worries about a tense geopolitical situation. Since then, concern over the latter two has not exactly gone away, and tariff wars have only added to investor jitters. In April 2024, gold was trading at around $2,400, an all-time high. It is now priced at about $3,400, up about 6 percent on the month…

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Close Encounters with Clowns and Aliens

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Just beyond the reception area where thrill-seekers or merely the clown-curious can check in at the Clown Motel in Tonopah, Nev., a (mainly) former mining town of about 2,000 in the middle of nowhere, there is a room infested with clowns. They are not for sale, but they line the shelves, sit on the floor, and hang from the ceiling. Please do not touch. What madman would?

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The Black Death’s Economic ‘Dividend’

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The Black Death, the bubonic plague that tore into England in 1348, was — this should not need saying — a cataclysm. The English had little natural immunity to this terrible disease, which arrived in Europe with the Mongols, either making its debut or for the first time in thousands of years. About 80 percent of those infected died. By the end of this first great wave of infection (others were to follow), England, like many other European countries, had lost around half its population…

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The Tariffs of April

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When I see epic, self-inflicted disasters crowned by poor planning, slovenly, often outdated thinking, remarkable carelessness, and predictions of victory that are little more than slogans, the qualities of leadership that led to World War I — and the way that it was fought — have a way of coming to mind. They did so, for example, during the pandemic, and they do so when contemplating the pointless “race” to net zero.

And so, when thinking about the crisis dramatically deepened by “liberation” day, I recalled “The General,” a poem from 1917 by Siegfried Sassoon…

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Tariffs: 'Liberation' Day

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April 2 will be “liberation day for America” as President Donald Trump unveils his tariff hikes, he promised — one of the “most important days in modern American history,” according to Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt.

Trump will say what he’s going to say, but the basic picture he paints has not changed for decades, although the role of principal villain may do so (in the 1980s, it was Japan). Leavitt sets it out again: A lack of reciprocity has contributed to a “large and persistent annual trade deficit that’s gutted out industries and hollowed out key workforces.” This, the president says, will now change.

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